Have you ever wondered about what the MET office looks like inside, and what they do there? Now is your chance to find out.
Talk 1: Numerical Weather Prediction – Fifty Years Of Progress, and More To Come! (Professor Dale Barker).
Weather forecasts can influence everyone’s lives – from individual decisions about whether to carry an umbrella to work, to their use by emergency services planning for the impact of extreme weather (e.g. heatwaves, floods). In recent years, the skill of weather forecasts has increased to the point where the 4 day forecast is now as good as a 1 day forecast 30 years ago. The origins of these improvements are many – spanning the full range of the STEM (scientific, technical, engineering, mathematics) spectrum. This talk will describe the basic weather forecasting process and the influence of progress in the various areas over past decades. The Met Office will receive a significant enhancement to its HPC resources in 2015-2017 through the installation of a new Cray XC40 supercomputer, representing a 12-fold increase in total computing power.
This talk will provide a brief overview of some of the intended upgrades to Met Office weather prediction systems in the next few years, included expanding the domain for high resolution UK forecasts, better representation of uncertainty through an expanded ensemble prediction capability, coupling atmospheric and ocean models more closely, and a new ‘now casting’ capability that will provide very short-range forecasts (up to 12 hours ahead) with more detail and accuracy than previously possible.
Talk 2: The use of numerical models in assessing future risk of global climate change (Dr Colin Jones)
Colin Jones is head of the joint Met Office NERC UK Earth System Modelling project and Professor at the University of Leeds, School of Earth and Environment. He has worked on global and regional climate model development for more than 20 years. He was previously head of the Rossby Centre at the Swedish Meteorological and Hydrological Institute (SMHI) and before that director of the Canadian Regional Climate Modelling and Diagnostics (CRCMD) network.
He coordinates the EU FP7 project EMBRACE working on improving European Earthsystem models and the recently funded EU Horizon 2020 project, CRESCEDNO, involving 7 European Earth system models.
He is former co-chair of the WCRP CORDEX project (Coordinated Regional Downscaling Experiment) and was a member of the WCRP working group on coupled modelling, invited expert on regional climate modelling on the WGNE panel and a member of the EC-Earth international steering committee.